Le Mans vs Monaco: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monaco wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?
Monaco starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,159 vs 1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Le Mans vs Monaco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 25D. Guèye
- 11A. Bourabaa
- 26R. Bamba
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 29L. Bretelle
- 22L. Calodat
- 5H. Voyer
- 17S. Yohou
- 15N. Boissé
- 98N. Kocik
Monaco
4-2-3-1- 29Paris Josua Brunner
- 8L. Camara
- 6D. Zakaria
- 10A. Golovin
- 17S. Idumbo-Muzambo
- 37E. Diop
- 15E. Dier
- 72Sadibou Sané
- 2Vanderson
- 20Flávio Nazinho
- 1L. Hrádecký
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Mans have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Monaco have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Le Mans wins, 1 draw, 3 Monaco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2013 | Monaco 2-1 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 22, 2012 | Le Mans 2-3 Monaco | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 30, 2012 | Le Mans 0-1 Monaco | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Monaco 2-2 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Mans score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Monaco | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Mans sit 9th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 5 matches) and Monaco sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Le Mans vs Monaco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Mans vs Monaco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Le Mans vs Monaco played?
- Le Mans vs Monaco is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Marie-Marvingt, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.