Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
The Footlab model makes Lyon the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
Lyon starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (2,129 vs 1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Brestois 29 have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Lyon have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stade Brestois 29 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lyon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Lyon 2-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Lyon 2-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Lyon 4-3 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Stade Brestois 29 1-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29 on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Brestois 29 score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lyon | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Brestois 29 sit 6th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Lyon sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
- The Footlab model makes Lyon the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon played?
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis-Le Blé, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.