Toulouse vs Strasbourg: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
The Footlab AI model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Toulouse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Strasbourg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Toulouse (1,985) and Strasbourg (2,049).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toulouse vs Strasbourg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toulouse
4-2-3-1- 13J. Russell-Rowe
- 23C. Cásseres
- 8T. Jørgensen
- 37Y. Azizi
- 9S. Hidalgo
- 14N. Sigur
- 12C. Tapé
- 3M. McKenzie
- 22R. Messali
- 5S. Koumbassa
- 16G. Restes
Strasbourg
4-3-3- 11S. Nanasi
- 30J. Ortega
- 14S. Mara
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 80Gessime Yassine
- 10G. Reyna
- 16G. Antwi
- 4J. Mitchell
- 6I. Doukouré
- 36Oso
- 1F. Jörgensen
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulouse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Strasbourg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAU(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Lille(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 6-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toulouse wins, 1 draw, 3 Strasbourg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Toulouse 1-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Strasbourg 2-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Toulouse 1-2 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Toulouse 0-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Strasbourg 2-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Strasbourg vs Toulouse on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toulouse score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Strasbourg score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Strasbourg | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulouse sit 13th in Ligue 1 (5 points from 5 matches) and Strasbourg sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Toulouse.
- Where and when is Toulouse vs Strasbourg played?
- Toulouse vs Strasbourg is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium de Toulouse, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.