Le Havre vs Lorient: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Océane, Le Havre
The Footlab AI model makes Le Havre the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Lorient. The most likely score is 1-1. If Le Havre wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?
On Elo ratings, Le Havre has 1,896 points and Lorient 2,017.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Le Havre vs Lorient
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Le Havre
3-4-2-1- 9J. Maja
- 7A. Richardson
- 25M. Samatta
- 26S. Ebonog
- 12E. Jelert
- 20D. Ouziad
- 38R. Fofana
- 15A. Seko
- 5A. Touba
- 23V. Sasso
- 93G. Gallon
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 18I. Baldé
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 8N. Cadiou
- 77P. Katseris
- 62A. Avom
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Havre have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lorient have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angers(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nice(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Le Havre wins, 2 draws, 2 Lorient wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lorient 0-2 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Le Havre 1-1 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Lorient 3-3 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Le Havre 3-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Le Havre 0-2 Lorient | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Lorient 2-0 Le Havre | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Lorient | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Havre sit 18th in Ligue 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Lorient sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
A question about Le Havre vs Lorient?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Lorient?
- The Footlab AI model makes Le Havre the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Lorient.
- Where and when is Le Havre vs Lorient played?
- Le Havre vs Lorient is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Océane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.