Match

Leamington vs Worcester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire

LeamingtonWorcester City

The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leamington vs Worcester City?

Worcester City starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,619).

Leamington win24 %
Draw24 %
Worcester City win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leamington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bury Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Kettering Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Anstey Nomads(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Real Bedford(away)2-4Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Yate Town(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Worcester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stamford(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Leighton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Alvechurch(away)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stratford Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Merthyr Town(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leamington win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Worcester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2014Worcester City 2-0 LeamingtonFA Cup
Oct 11, 2014Leamington 1-1 Worcester CityFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Leamington on Oct 14, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leamington1.32.2111/1511/15
Worcester City1.31.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leamington sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 2 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Leamington2011351
19Worcester City3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Worcester City?
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Leamington.
Where and when is Leamington vs Worcester City played?
Leamington vs Worcester City is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leamington and Worcester City

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