Leamington vs Worcester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leamington vs Worcester City?
Worcester City starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leamington win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Worcester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2014 | Worcester City 2-0 Leamington | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Leamington 1-1 Worcester City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Leamington on Oct 14, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leamington sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 2 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Worcester City?
- The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Leamington vs Worcester City played?
- Leamington vs Worcester City is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAnstey Nomads
- Aug 29, 2026Hitchin TownvsKettering Town
- Aug 29, 2026StamfordvsRushall Olympic
- Aug 29, 2026Halesowen TownvsReal Bedford
- Aug 29, 2026AlvechurchvsRacing Club Warwick
- Aug 29, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStourbridge
- Aug 29, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBishop's Stortford
- Aug 29, 2026LeistonvsRedditch United