Where and when is Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes played?

Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Leandro Nicéforo Alem, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Leandro Nicéforo Alem, General Rodríguez, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Leandro N. Alem

Mercedes

The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Leandro N. Alem. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Leandro N. Alem (1,517) and Mercedes (1,581).

Leandro N. Alem win24 %

Draw33 %

Mercedes win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leandro N. Alem have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mercedes have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leandro N. Alem
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Juventud Unida(home)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 22, 2026	Lugano(home)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 15, 2026	Central Ballester(away)	0-3	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Defensores de Cambaceres(away)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 27, 2026	Sacachispas(away)	1-1	Primera C

Mercedes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sacachispas(home)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 18, 2026	Claypole(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Argentino Rosario(away)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Estrella Del Sur(home)	1-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Berazategui(away)	1-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Leandro N. Alem win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Mercedes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Mercedes 2-0 Leandro N. Alem	Primera C
Sep 16, 2025	Mercedes 0-1 Leandro N. Alem	Primera C
May 31, 2025	Leandro N. Alem 1-2 Mercedes	Primera C
Nov 20, 2024	Mercedes 0-1 Leandro N. Alem	Primera C
Jun 19, 2024	Leandro N. Alem 0-1 Mercedes	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Mercedes vs Leandro N. Alem on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leandro N. Alem score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mercedes score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leandro N. Alem	0.8	1.4	4	4/15	5/15
Mercedes	1.3	0.7	7	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leandro N. Alem sit 11th in Primera C (27 points from 25 matches) and Mercedes sit 6th (36 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
11	Leandro N. Alem	25	7	6	12	26	42	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes?: The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Leandro N. Alem.
Where and when is Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes played?: Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Leandro Nicéforo Alem, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.