Match

Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Morón, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Sportivo BarracasCanuelas

The Footlab model makes Sportivo Barracas the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Canuelas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Sportivo Barracas (1,618) and Canuelas (1,620).

Sportivo Barracas win37 %
Draw32 %
Canuelas win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportivo Barracas have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Canuelas have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportivo Barracas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Central Cordoba(away)1-2Primera C
Aug 16, 2026Deportivo Paraguayo(away)1-0Primera C
Aug 10, 2026Claypole(home)2-0Primera C
Jul 28, 2026El Porvenir(home)3-2Primera C
Jul 17, 2026Lugano(away)2-3Primera C
Canuelas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leones de Rosario(home)1-0Primera C
Aug 15, 2026Estrella Del Sur(home)1-2Primera C
Aug 9, 2026Atletico Atlas(away)0-2Primera C
Aug 3, 2026Yupanqui(away)2-1Primera C
Jul 25, 2026Deportivo Muñiz(home)0-1Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sportivo Barracas win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Canuelas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Canuelas 3-1 Sportivo BarracasPrimera C
Jul 28, 2025Sportivo Barracas 1-0 CanuelasPrimera C
Apr 12, 2025Canuelas 1-3 Sportivo BarracasPrimera C
Mar 25, 2019Sportivo Barracas 0-2 CanuelasPrimera C
Oct 14, 2018Canuelas 2-0 Sportivo BarracasPrimera C
May 2, 2018Canuelas 1-0 Sportivo BarracasPrimera C

Last archived meeting: Canuelas vs Sportivo Barracas on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportivo Barracas score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Canuelas score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportivo Barracas1.31.186/156/15
Canuelas1.10.785/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportivo Barracas sit 5th in Primera C (34 points from 24 matches) and Canuelas sit 2nd (42 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Canuelas251195271842
5Sportivo Barracas2410410292534

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?
The Footlab model makes Sportivo Barracas the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Canuelas.
Where and when is Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas played?
Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sportivo Barracas and Canuelas

Ready to know everything about football?