Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk played?

Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków

Noteć Czarnków

Gedania Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk?

Noteć Czarnków starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,668).

Noteć Czarnków win49 %

Draw23 %

Gedania Gdansk win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Gedania Gdansk have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Noteć Czarnków win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gedania Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk 5-3 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 12, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 0-3 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 14, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 1-5 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 16, 2024	Noteć Czarnków 1-2 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 23, 2023	Gedania Gdansk 1-1 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Noteć Czarnków on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Noteć Czarnków sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (9 points from 5 matches) and Gedania Gdansk sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk played?: Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.