Match

Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew

Lipno StęszewLech Poznań II

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,708) and Lech Poznań II (1,779).

Lipno Stęszew win31 %
Draw23 %
Lech Poznań II win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lipno Stęszew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Środa(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Wda Świecie(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Elana Toruń(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lech Poznań II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Lech Poznań II 1-0 Lipno StęszewIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 29, 2025Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2025Lech Poznań II 2-3 Lipno StęszewIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Lipno Stęszew on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lipno Stęszew1.31.747/159/15
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lech Poznań II531112910
17Lipno Stęszew50145111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew.
Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II played?
Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lipno Stęszew and Lech Poznań II

Ready to know everything about football?