Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,708) and Lech Poznań II (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lech Poznań II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II 1-0 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Lech Poznań II 2-3 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Lipno Stęszew on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew.
- Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II played?
- Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsLuzino
- Mar 6, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsPolonia Środa
- Mar 6, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsKotwica Kórnik
- Mar 6, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsElana Toruń
- Mar 6, 2027Gedania GdanskvsKluczevia Stargard
- Mar 6, 2027Victoria WrześniavsFlota Świnoujście
- Mar 6, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsKalisz
- Mar 6, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsWda Świecie