Match

Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Lech PoznanWieczysta Kraków

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków?

Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,931).

Lech Poznan win65 %
Draw21 %
Wieczysta Kraków win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznan have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wieczysta Kraków have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026FC Thun(home)7-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 14, 2026KI Klaksvik(away)5-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)3-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026KI Klaksvik(home)1-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Wieczysta Kraków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)4-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznan(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Maccabi Netanya(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Lech Poznan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Wieczysta Kraków win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Wieczysta Kraków 1-2 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznan2.60.777/1511/15
Wieczysta Kraków2.01.7112/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznan sit 4th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 3 matches) and Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Lech Poznan3210517
17Wieczysta Kraków41038103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Wieczysta Kraków.
Where and when is Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków played?
Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lech Poznan and Wieczysta Kraków

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