Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznan have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wieczysta Kraków have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 7-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(away) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 3-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Lech Poznan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Wieczysta Kraków win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków 1-2 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznan sit 4th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 3 matches) and Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Wieczysta Kraków.
- Where and when is Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków played?
- Lech Poznan vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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