Raków Częstochowa vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Slask Wroclaw. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Slask Wroclaw?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (2,034) and Slask Wroclaw (1,962).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Slask Wroclaw have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Slask Wroclaw win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Slask Wroclaw 1-2 Raków Częstochowa | Cup |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| May 25, 2024 | Raków Częstochowa 1-2 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Raków Częstochowa on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Slask Wroclaw sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Slask Wroclaw?
- The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Slask Wroclaw.
- Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Slask Wroclaw played?
- Raków Częstochowa vs Slask Wroclaw is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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