Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan played?

Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

Lech Poznan

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan?

Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,917).

Piast Gliwice win22 %

Draw23 %

Lech Poznan win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lech Poznan have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Piast Gliwice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(home)	3-4	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Lech Poznan(away)	0-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	0-2	Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	FC Thun(home)	7-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 14, 2026	KI Klaksvik(away)	5-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	3-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	KI Klaksvik(home)	1-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Piast Gliwice win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lech Poznan win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 9, 2026	Lech Poznan 3-0 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Feb 15, 2026	Lech Poznan 3-0 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Feb 3, 2026	Piast Gliwice 1-0 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa
Dec 3, 2025	Piast Gliwice 0-2 Lech Poznan	Cup
May 24, 2025	Lech Poznan 1-0 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Nov 29, 2024	Piast Gliwice 0-0 Lech Poznan	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Piast Gliwice	1.4	1.6	4	8/15	7/15
Lech Poznan	2.6	0.7	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznan sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	8	13	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan?: The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Piast Gliwice.
Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan played?: Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.