Zaglebie Lubin vs Legia Warszawa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Legia Warszawa?
Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Legia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 3-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-3 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| May 25, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Legia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Legia Warszawa played?
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Legia Warszawa is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027JagielloniavsMotor Lublin
- Jan 30, 2027Wisla KrakowvsPiast Gliwice
- Jan 30, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsKorona Kielce
- Jan 30, 2027Lech PoznanvsWieczysta Kraków
- Jan 30, 2027Pogon SzczecinvsCracovia Krakow
- Jan 30, 2027Raków CzęstochowavsSlask Wroclaw
- Jan 30, 2027Radomiak RadomvsGKS Katowice
- Jan 30, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsWisla Plock