Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow played?

Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

Cracovia Krakow

The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Pogon Szczecin (1,993) and Cracovia Krakow (1,949).

Pogon Szczecin win46 %

Draw27 %

Cracovia Krakow win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogon Szczecin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Cracovia Krakow
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(home)	3-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Lech Poznan(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pogon Szczecin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cracovia Krakow win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow 0-2 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Apr 25, 2026	Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Oct 25, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa
Mar 14, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 5-2 Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa
Sep 14, 2024	Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Mar 30, 2024	Pogon Szczecin 3-1 Cracovia Krakow	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin on Aug 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Cracovia Krakow	1.3	1.1	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogon Szczecin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cracovia Krakow	5	2	2	1	5	5	8
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow?: The Footlab model makes Pogon Szczecin the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Cracovia Krakow.
Where and when is Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow played?: Pogon Szczecin vs Cracovia Krakow is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.