Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Wisla Krakow (1,983) and Motor Lublin (1,932).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Wisla Krakow win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Motor Lublin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Wisla Krakow 1-3 Motor Lublin | I Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Motor Lublin 1-4 Wisla Krakow | I Liga |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Motor Lublin 1-0 Wisla Krakow | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin on Apr 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin?
- The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Motor Lublin.
- Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin played?
- Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026JagielloniavsRadomiak Radom
- Nov 28, 2026Slask WroclawvsGKS Katowice
- Nov 28, 2026Legia WarszawavsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 28, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWisla Plock
- Nov 28, 2026Korona KielcevsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 28, 2026Lech PoznanvsPogon Szczecin
- Nov 28, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsPiast Gliwice
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsZaglebie Lubin