Widzew Łódź vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Zaglebie Lubin?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Widzew Łódź (1,968) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Widzew Łódź win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| May 10, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 4-7 Zaglebie Lubin | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Zaglebie Lubin on Jan 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew Łódź sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
- Widzew Łódź vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026JagielloniavsRadomiak Radom
- Nov 28, 2026Slask WroclawvsGKS Katowice
- Nov 28, 2026Wisla KrakowvsMotor Lublin
- Nov 28, 2026Legia WarszawavsWieczysta Kraków
- Nov 28, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsWisla Plock
- Nov 28, 2026Korona KielcevsCracovia Krakow
- Nov 28, 2026Lech PoznanvsPogon Szczecin
- Nov 28, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsPiast Gliwice