Match

Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki

Lechia T. MazowieckiOlimpia Zambrów

The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrów?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,704).

Lechia T. Mazowiecki win54 %
Draw20 %
Olimpia Zambrów win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(home)4-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Mławianka Mława(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Łomża(home)5-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Wisła Płock II(away)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Weszlo(away)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Olimpia Zambrów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)4-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Swit(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)5-0III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 8, 2024Lechia T. Mazowiecki 0-5 Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1
Nov 18, 2023Olimpia Zambrów 2-2 Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1
Apr 8, 2023Olimpia Zambrów 1-2 Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 3, 2022Lechia T. Mazowiecki 0-1 Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1
Apr 17, 2021Olimpia Zambrów 4-2 Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 20, 2020Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-0 Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrów on Jun 8, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lechia T. Mazowiecki2.01.9213/1512/15
Olimpia Zambrów1.91.928/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Lechia T. Mazowiecki530214119
7Olimpia Zambrów530213119

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrów?
The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Olimpia Zambrów.
Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lechia T. Mazowiecki and Olimpia Zambrów

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