Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?

Pelikan Łowicz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pelikan Łowicz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz

Pelikan Łowicz

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Pelikan Łowicz (1,652) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,751).

Pelikan Łowicz win36 %

Draw23 %

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pelikan Łowicz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Troszyn(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Jagiellonia II(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Łomża(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Swit(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Troszyn(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pelikan Łowicz	1.1	1.7	2	10/15	9/15
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2.3	1.8	0	6/6	6/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
4	Pelikan Łowicz	5	3	1	1	7	7	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Pelikan Łowicz.
Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?: Pelikan Łowicz vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.