Match

Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz

Warta SieradzWigry Suwałki

The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Wigry Suwałki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Warta Sieradz (1,849) and Wigry Suwałki (1,836).

Warta Sieradz win41 %
Draw25 %
Wigry Suwałki win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Sieradz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Troszyn(away)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Wigry Suwałki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Swit(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Troszyn(home)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Jagiellonia II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(home)2-0III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Warta Sieradz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1
Nov 8, 2025Wigry Suwałki 1-2 Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1
May 31, 2025Warta Sieradz 3-2 Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1
Nov 8, 2024Wigry Suwałki 4-0 Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki on May 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Sieradz1.91.159/1510/15
Wigry Suwałki1.60.777/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Wigry Suwałki5230529
12Warta Sieradz5212897

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki?
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Wigry Suwałki.
Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki played?
Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Sieradz and Wigry Suwałki

Ready to know everything about football?