Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Wigry Suwałki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Warta Sieradz (1,849) and Wigry Suwałki (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Warta Sieradz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 1-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 3-2 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Wigry Suwałki 4-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Wigry Suwałki.
- Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki played?
- Warta Sieradz vs Wigry Suwałki is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- May 1, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- May 1, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsOlimpia Zambrów
- May 1, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsSwit
- May 1, 2027Mławianka MławavsOlimpia Elbląg
- May 1, 2027ŁomżavsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- May 1, 2027TroszynvsWisła Płock II
- May 1, 2027WeszlovsWidzew II