Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Zambrów
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Olimpia Zambrów (1,704) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Zambrów have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Olimpia Zambrów win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2024 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 0-5 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Olimpia Zambrów 2-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 0-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Olimpia Zambrów 4-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-0 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrów on Jun 8, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?
- Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWarta Sieradz
- Oct 10, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsMławianka Mława
- Oct 10, 2026SwitvsŁKS Łódź II
- Oct 10, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsTroszyn
- Oct 10, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsŁomża
- Oct 10, 2026Widzew IIvsWeszlo
- Oct 10, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsJagiellonia II
- Oct 10, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsPelikan Łowicz