Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?

Jagiellonia II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok

Jagiellonia II

Ząbkovia Ząbki

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,775) and Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701).

Jagiellonia II win51 %

Draw23 %

Ząbkovia Ząbki win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Weszlo(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

Ząbkovia Ząbki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Widzew II(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Jagiellonia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki 0-1 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 27, 2025	Jagiellonia II 1-5 Ząbkovia Ząbki	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Jagiellonia II on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia II	1.6	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Ząbkovia Ząbki	1.4	1.9	3	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia II sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Jagiellonia II	5	2	2	1	9	9	8
13	Ząbkovia Ząbki	5	2	1	2	8	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?: Jagiellonia II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.