Leeds vs Newcastle: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
Full time
What was the result of Leeds vs Newcastle?
Leeds won 4-1 on September 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 32′L. MileyLeeds (o.g.)
- 34′J. BogleLeeds
- 45′D. Calvert-LewinLeeds
- 59′N. OkaforLeeds
- 90′B. TouréNewcastle
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Leeds win at 43%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Leeds vs Newcastle
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Leeds
3-5-2- 19N. Okafor
- 9D. Calvert-Lewin
- 3G. Gudmundsson
- 22A. Tanaka
- 4E. Ampadu
- 18A. Stach
- 2J. Bogle
- 5T. Muharemović
- 30N. Elvedi
- 24J. Justin
- 1J. Trafford
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Wissa
- 11H. Barnes
- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 23J. Murphy
- 6Nico González
- 67L. Miley
- 3L. Hall
- 4S. Botman
- 12M. Thiaw
- 37A. Dedić
- 21L. Horníček
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leeds have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Newcastle have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 3-6 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Leeds wins, 4 draws, 2 Newcastle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Newcastle 4-3 Leeds | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Leeds 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| May 13, 2023 | Leeds 2-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Newcastle 0-0 Leeds | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Leeds 0-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2021 | Newcastle 1-1 Leeds | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Leeds score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leeds sit 7th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Newcastle sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Leeds vs Newcastle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy