Match

Parla Escuela vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Parla EscuelaMóstoles

The Footlab model makes Parla Escuela the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Parla Escuela (1,750) and Móstoles (1,755).

Parla Escuela win39 %
Draw27 %
Móstoles win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Parla Escuela have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parla Escuela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 26, 2024Valencia(home)0-1Copa del Rey
Oct 9, 2024Sonseca(away)1-0Copa del Rey
Móstoles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026A Madrid III(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(home)3-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Trival Valderas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Parla Escuela score 0.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 2; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Parla Escuela0.50.510/20/2
Móstoles1.11.5010/154/15

Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Móstoles3414911514551

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
The Footlab model makes Parla Escuela the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Parla Escuela vs Móstoles played?
Parla Escuela vs Móstoles is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Parla Escuela and Móstoles

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