Parla Escuela vs Móstoles: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Parla Escuela the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Parla Escuela (1,750) and Móstoles (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Parla Escuela have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2024 | Valencia(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Sonseca(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Parla Escuela score 0.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 2; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parla Escuela | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
| Móstoles | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Móstoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
- The Footlab model makes Parla Escuela the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Móstoles.
- Where and when is Parla Escuela vs Móstoles played?
- Parla Escuela vs Móstoles is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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