Las Rozas vs Torrejón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Torrejón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Torrejón?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,779) and Torrejón (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Torrejón have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Las Rozas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Torrejón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón 0-3 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Las Rozas 1-0 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Torrejón 1-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Las Rozas 2-0 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Las Rozas 3-2 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Torrejón 0-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Las Rozas on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Torrejón | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Torrejón sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torrejón | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 46 | 60 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Torrejón?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Torrejón.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Torrejón played?
- Las Rozas vs Torrejón is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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