Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano IIFuenlabrada

The Footlab AI model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fuenlabrada wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,374 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,699) and Fuenlabrada (1,791).

25%25%50%
Rayo Vallecano II winDrawFuenlabrada win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rayo Vallecano II

4-3-3
  1. EE. Eto'o Pineda
  2. SSergio Alonso
  3. PPablo Prieto
  1. 19Aitor González
  2. JJuanchi
  3. JJuan Ybarra
  1. DDiego Robles
  2. ÁÁlvaro Baladía
  3. VVíctor Revuelto
  4. 26Marco de las Sías
  1. 30Juanpe

Fuenlabrada

4-3-3
  1. AA. Damar
  2. MManu Garrido
  3. CC. Omoigui
  1. AAntonio Moyano
  2. FFer Ruiz
  3. SSergio Aguza
  1. ÁÁlvaro García
  2. BB. Ouacharaf
  3. 14Álvaro Barbosa
  4. DDavid Alba
  1. LLucas Díaz

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:27 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026SS Reyes II(away)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Galapagar(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 17, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Parla Escuela(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Unión Adarve(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Rayo Vallecano II wins, 0 draws, 2 Fuenlabrada wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Rayo Vallecano II 1-2 FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 28, 2025Fuenlabrada 5-0 Rayo Vallecano IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II1.02.328/1510/15
Fuenlabrada1.11.348/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rayo Vallecano II sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (4 points from 7 matches) and Fuenlabrada sit 11th (10 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Fuenlabrada82429910
17Rayo Vallecano II711510174

A question about Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada?
The Footlab AI model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada played?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Rayo Vallecano II and Fuenlabrada

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