Galapagar vs SS Reyes II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galapagar vs SS Reyes II?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,723) and SS Reyes II (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; SS Reyes II have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | AD Parla(away) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcorcón II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Galapagar win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 SS Reyes II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Galapagar 1-1 SS Reyes II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SS Reyes II 0-0 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Galapagar vs SS Reyes II on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SS Reyes II score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galapagar | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| SS Reyes II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galapagar sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (46 points from 34 matches) and SS Reyes II sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SS Reyes II | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 35 | 49 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 47 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs SS Reyes II?
- The Footlab model makes SS Reyes II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is Galapagar vs SS Reyes II played?
- Galapagar vs SS Reyes II is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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