Eibar vs Celta de Vigo II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar vs Celta de Vigo II?
On Elo ratings, Eibar has 2,068 points and Celta de Vigo II 1,986.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar vs Celta de Vigo II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 11Jon Magunazelaia
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3- 10O. Marcos
- 9A. Marin
- 15A. Kibet
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 18Joel López
- 2P. Gavian
- 23G. Miller
- 3K. Ribes
- 20A. Rodriguez
- 21Alexis Olmedo
- 1Coke Carrillo
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Celta de Vigo II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Eibar win, 0 draws, 0 Celta de Vigo II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II 0-4 Eibar | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar on Sep 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo II score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar sit 2nd in Segunda División (21 points from 9 matches) and Celta de Vigo II sit 13th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 13 | Celta de Vigo II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Eibar vs Celta de Vigo II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Celta de Vigo II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Eibar vs Celta de Vigo II played?
- Eibar vs Celta de Vigo II is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.