Castellón vs Leganes: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Leganes. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Leganes?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,903).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellón vs Leganes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 6M. Orozco
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 13R. Matthys
Leganes
3-4-2-1- 19P. Soko
- 11Naim García
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 22Álex Sancris
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 13L. Zidane
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Leganes have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Castellón wins, 1 draw, 0 Leganes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes 0-2 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Castellón 2-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Leganes 0-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Leganes 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Castellón 2-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Leganes | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 2nd in Segunda División (23 points from 10 matches) and Leganes sit 17th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 23 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Castellón vs Leganes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Leganes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Leganes played?
- Castellón vs Leganes is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.