Leicester vs Derby: result 4-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 1, 2011 at 04:20 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
Full time
What was the result of Leicester vs Derby?
Leicester won 4-0 on October 1, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 21′D. NugentLeicester
- 44′Darius VassellLeicester
- 88′J. SchluppLeicester
- 90′Lloyd DyerLeicester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 5 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Derby have 6, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2011 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Cardiff(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Cardiff(away) | 4-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Brighton(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Burnley(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/12 | 6/12 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy