Lille vs Paris FC: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Paris FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lille wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lille vs Paris FC?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Lille (2,173) and Paris FC (2,134).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lille vs Paris FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lille
4-3-3- 10H. Haraldsson
- 35S. Diaoune
- 8E. Mbappé
- 17N. Mukau
- 21B. André
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 3N. Ngoy
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 23T. Nianzou
- 24C. Verdonk
- 1B. Özer
Paris FC
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sinayoko
- 33P. Lees-Melou
- 10I. Kebbal
- 7P. Pagis
- 20M. Lopez
- 27M. Simon
- 42D. Coppola
- 14H. Traoré
- 6Otávio
- 31S. Chergui
- 1K. Trapp
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Paris FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Lens(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lille wins, 0 draws, 0 Paris FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Paris FC 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lille 4-2 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Paris FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (21 points from 10 matches) and Paris FC sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 20 |
A question about Lille vs Paris FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lille vs Paris FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Paris FC.
- Where and when is Lille vs Paris FC played?
- Lille vs Paris FC is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.