Estac Troyes vs Monaco: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Estac Troyes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monaco wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Monaco?
Monaco starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (2,142 vs 1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estac Troyes vs Monaco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1- 9J. Le Douaron
- 8M. Diop
- 17A. Mille
- 29D. Karim
- 11I. Gomis
- 7K. Diawara
- 6A. Monfray
- 4M. Diaz
- 2L. Maronnier
- 5P. Gozzi
- 33P. Beach
Monaco
4-2-3-1- 11M. Abline
- 8L. Camara
- 6D. Zakaria
- 10A. Golovin
- 37E. Diop
- 7M. Detourbet
- 15E. Dier
- 72Sadibou Sané
- 2Vanderson
- 20Flávio Nazinho
- 1L. Hrádecký
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Monaco have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angers(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-6 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estac Troyes win, 1 draw, 4 Monaco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Estac Troyes 2-2 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Monaco 2-4 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Monaco 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Estac Troyes 1-2 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2018 | Estac Troyes 0-3 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Monaco 3-2 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Monaco on Mar 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Monaco | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estac Troyes sit 17th in Ligue 1 (4 points from 6 matches) and Monaco sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Estac Troyes vs Monaco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estac Troyes vs Monaco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Estac Troyes.
- Where and when is Estac Troyes vs Monaco played?
- Estac Troyes vs Monaco is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Aube, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.