Match

Xerez vs Las Palmas II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

XerezLas Palmas II

The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Las Palmas II. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Las Palmas II?

Xerez starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,769).

58%25%17%
Xerez winDrawLas Palmas II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Xerez vs Las Palmas II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Xerez

4-3-3
  1. 10Zequi
  2. 9R. Mesa
  3. 11Chuma
  1. 8Ismael Gutiérrez
  2. 16R. Lopez
  3. 14J. Lopez
  1. 6Fali
  2. 19Moisés Rodríguez
  3. 3F. Chacartegui
  4. 21Victor Lopez
  1. 13M. Garcia

Las Palmas II

Not enough data to predict the Las Palmas II lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Las Palmas II have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Sanluqueño(away)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 1, 2026Tamaraceite(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 29, 2026Cadiz(home)1-3Copa del Rey
Oct 25, 2026Marbella(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Las Palmas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Marbella(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Central(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 25, 2026Sanluqueño(away)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Puente Genil(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Tenerife II(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas II score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Xerez1.00.776/155/15
Las Palmas II0.61.727/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Xerez sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (15 points from 10 matches) and Las Palmas II sit 18th (5 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Xerez1043312715
18Las Palmas II101275185

A question about Xerez vs Las Palmas II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Las Palmas II?
The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Las Palmas II.
Where and when is Xerez vs Las Palmas II played?
Xerez vs Las Palmas II is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Xerez and Las Palmas II