Lincoln vs Birmingham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Birmingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lincoln wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Lincoln (2,005) and Birmingham (2,000).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lincoln vs Birmingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lincoln
3-4-2-1- 34F. Draper
- 14C. McGrandles
- 18B. House
- 3A. Reach
- 24I. Varfolomeev
- 27C. Ogbene
- 8T. Bayliss
- 25D. Elerewe
- 15S. Bradley
- 6R. Towler
- 1G. Wickens
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Birmingham have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lincoln wins, 0 draws, 3 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Birmingham 1-0 Lincoln | League One |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Birmingham 2-1 Lincoln | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lincoln sit 18th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Birmingham sit 4th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Lincoln vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln vs Birmingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Birmingham.
- Where and when is Lincoln vs Birmingham played?
- Lincoln vs Birmingham is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.