Norwich vs Watford: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Watford. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norwich vs Watford?
Norwich starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Norwich vs Watford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 21M. Touré
- 23K. McLean
- 11A. Brooks
- 7P. Mattsson
- 49A. Musaba
- 29O. Schwartau
- 33J. Córdoba
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 14B. Chrisene
- 3J. Stacey
- 1V. Kovačević
Watford
4-2-3-1- 20M. Doumbia
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 17Iker Bravo
- 39E. Kayembe
- 21Amin Nabizada
- 11R. Vata
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 33J. Zemura
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 1F. Ravaglia
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Watford have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Norwich wins, 0 draws, 2 Watford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Norwich 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Watford 3-2 Norwich | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Watford 1-2 Norwich | League Cup |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Watford 0-1 Norwich | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Norwich 4-1 Watford | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Norwich 4-2 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 17th in Championship (9 points from 8 matches) and Watford sit 20th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 9 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Norwich vs Watford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norwich vs Watford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Watford.
- Where and when is Norwich vs Watford played?
- Norwich vs Watford is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Carrow Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.