Stoke City vs Preston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Stoke City the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Stoke City (1,794) and Preston (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Preston have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Everton(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stoke City win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Preston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Preston 3-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Stoke City 0-0 Preston | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Preston 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Stoke City 0-0 Preston | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Preston 1-2 Stoke City | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Stoke City 0-2 Preston | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Preston vs Stoke City on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Preston score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Preston | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 21st in Championship (0 points from 2 matches) and Preston sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Preston?
- The Footlab model makes Stoke City the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Preston.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs Preston played?
- Stoke City vs Preston is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.