Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Teknikuri Tsentri, Rustavi
The Footlab model makes Lithuania U17 the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Northern Ireland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Lithuania U17 (1,404) and Northern Ireland U17 (1,478).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania U17 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Northern Ireland U17 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Bulgaria U17(home) | 0-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Azerbaijan U17(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Malta U17(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Scotland U17(away) | 1-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 31, 2025 | England U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Scotland U17(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Turkey U17(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Spain U17(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Norway U17(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Sweden U17(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Lithuania U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Northern Ireland U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | Lithuania U17 3-1 Northern Ireland U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 on Nov 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Lithuania U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Northern Ireland U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania U17 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Northern Ireland U17 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lithuania U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Northern Ireland U17 sit 2nd (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lithuania U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Northern Ireland U17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17?
- The Footlab model makes Lithuania U17 the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Northern Ireland U17.
- Where and when is Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 played?
- Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Teknikuri Tsentri, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17