Match

Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Teknikuri Tsentri, Rustavi

Lithuania U17Northern Ireland U17

The Footlab model makes Lithuania U17 the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Northern Ireland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Lithuania U17 (1,404) and Northern Ireland U17 (1,478).

Lithuania U17 win45 %
Draw24 %
Northern Ireland U17 win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania U17 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Northern Ireland U17 have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lithuania U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Bulgaria U17(home)0-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Azerbaijan U17(home)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 24, 2026Malta U17(away)3-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 3, 2025Scotland U17(away)1-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 31, 2025England U17(away)1-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Northern Ireland U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Scotland U17(home)1-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 18, 2026Turkey U17(away)0-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 15, 2026Spain U17(away)0-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 21, 2026Norway U17(home)1-1Friendlies
Feb 18, 2026Sweden U17(home)2-1Friendlies

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Lithuania U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Northern Ireland U17 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2024Lithuania U17 3-1 Northern Ireland U17UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 on Nov 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Lithuania U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Northern Ireland U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lithuania U171.62.0310/1511/15
Northern Ireland U171.21.7110/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lithuania U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Northern Ireland U17 sit 2nd (5 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Lithuania U173111344
2Northern Ireland U173120325

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17?
The Footlab model makes Lithuania U17 the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Northern Ireland U17.
Where and when is Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 played?
Lithuania U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Teknikuri Tsentri, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lithuania U17 and Northern Ireland U17

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