Lithuania vs Netherlands: result 2-3 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on September 7, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
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What was the result of Lithuania vs Netherlands?
Netherlands won 2-3 on September 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′M. DepayNetherlands
- 33′Q. TimberNetherlands
- 36′G. GineitisLithuania
- 43′E. GirdvainisLithuania
- 63′M. DepayNetherlands
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Netherlands have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2025 | Malta(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Denmark(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Malta(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Finland(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Poland(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2025 | Poland(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Malta(home) | 8-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Finland(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Spain(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Spain(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lithuania score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Netherlands score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Netherlands | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lithuania sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (3 points from 8 matches) and Netherlands sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy