Poland vs Finland: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on September 7, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Śląski, Chorzów
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What was the result of Poland vs Finland?
Poland won 3-1 on September 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′M. CashPoland
- 45′R. LewandowskiPoland
- 54′J. KamińskiPoland
- 88′B. KällmanFinland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Finland have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2025 | Netherlands(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Finland(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Moldova(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Malta(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Lithuania(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2025 | Norway(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Poland(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Netherlands(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Lithuania(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Malta(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Poland win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Finland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Finland 2-1 Poland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Poland 5-1 Finland | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Poland score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Finland score 0.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Finland | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poland sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (17 points from 8 matches) and Finland sit 3rd (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy