Match

Llanera vs Compostela: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera

LlaneraCompostela

The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Compostela. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llanera vs Compostela?

Llanera starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,999 vs 1,885).

Llanera win54 %
Draw26 %
Compostela win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Compostela have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llanera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Avilés Stadium(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Avilés Stadium(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Tuilla(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Real Titánico(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Compostela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Badalona II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Badalona II(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Atlético Arteixo(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 31, 2026Atlético Arteixo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Llanera win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Compostela win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2025Llanera 1-1 CompostelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 17, 2024Compostela 1-0 LlaneraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 12, 2022Compostela 0-1 LlaneraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 23, 2021Llanera 1-2 CompostelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Llanera vs Compostela on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llanera1.90.4114/157/15
Compostela1.71.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Compostela?
The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Compostela.
Where and when is Llanera vs Compostela played?
Llanera vs Compostela is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Llanera and Compostela

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