Where and when is Basconia vs Portugalete played?

Basconia vs Portugalete is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Basconia vs Portugalete: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Artunduaga, Basauri

Basconia

Portugalete

The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Portugalete. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basconia vs Portugalete?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Basconia (1,962) and Portugalete (1,941).

Basconia win44 %

Draw27 %

Portugalete win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basconia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Portugalete have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basconia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Ejea(home)	5-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Gernika(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Sestao River(away)	2-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Portugalete
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Barakaldo(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 9, 2026	Deportivo Alavés III(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026	Aurrerá Vitoria(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 25, 2026	Leioa(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 17, 2026	Eibar III(home)	4-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Basconia win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Portugalete win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	Portugalete 3-3 Basconia	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 15, 2024	Basconia 1-1 Portugalete	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
May 26, 2024	Basconia 0-3 Portugalete	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 18, 2024	Portugalete 2-1 Basconia	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 4, 2024	Basconia 2-4 Portugalete	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 16, 2023	Portugalete 0-0 Basconia	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Portugalete vs Basconia on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portugalete score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Basconia	2.3	1.3	5	9/15	11/15
Portugalete	1.8	0.9	7	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basconia vs Portugalete?: The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Portugalete.
Where and when is Basconia vs Portugalete played?: Basconia vs Portugalete is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.