Basconia vs Portugalete: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Artunduaga, Basauri
The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Portugalete. The most likely score is 1-1. If Basconia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basconia vs Portugalete?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Basconia (1,962) and Portugalete (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Basconia vs Portugalete
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Basconia
Not enough data to predict the Basconia lineup.
Portugalete
Not enough data to predict the Portugalete lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basconia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Portugalete have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Basconia wins, 3 draws, 3 Portugalete wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Portugalete 3-3 Basconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Basconia 1-1 Portugalete | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 26, 2024 | Basconia 0-3 Portugalete | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2024 | Portugalete 2-1 Basconia | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Basconia 2-4 Portugalete | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Portugalete 0-0 Basconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Portugalete vs Basconia on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Portugalete score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Portugalete | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basconia sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Portugalete sit 5th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Portugalete | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 11 | Basconia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Basconia vs Portugalete?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basconia vs Portugalete?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Portugalete.
- Where and when is Basconia vs Portugalete played?
- Basconia vs Portugalete is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Eibar IIvsBergantiños
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo Alavés IIvsRacing Santander II
- Oct 24, 2026Atlético AstorgavsGernika
- Oct 24, 2026AmorebietavsCoruxo
- Oct 24, 2026LlaneravsCompostela
- Oct 24, 2026Sestao RivervsArosa
- Oct 25, 2026Marino de LuancovsReal Oviedo II
- Oct 25, 2026Ourense CFvsGimnástica Torrelavega