Match

Eibar II vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar

Eibar IIBergantiños

The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bergantiños. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eibar II vs Bergantiños?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Eibar II (1,887) and Bergantiños (1,882).

Eibar II win43 %
Draw28 %
Bergantiños win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bergantiños have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eibar II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Náxara(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Ejea(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Ebro(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Utebo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Bergantiños
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Sámano(away)5-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026UD Ourense(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026Real Oviedo II(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Sarriana(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)4-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eibar II1.51.439/158/15
Bergantiños1.51.446/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Bergantiños3413912443748

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Bergantiños?
The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bergantiños.
Where and when is Eibar II vs Bergantiños played?
Eibar II vs Bergantiños is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Eibar II and Bergantiños

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