Llanera vs Deportivo Alavés II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera
The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Deportivo Alavés II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanera vs Deportivo Alavés II?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Llanera (2,003) and Deportivo Alavés II (1,992).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Deportivo Alavés II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tuilla(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Titánico(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Alavés II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanera | 1.9 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo Alavés II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Deportivo Alavés II?
- The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Deportivo Alavés II.
- Where and when is Llanera vs Deportivo Alavés II played?
- Llanera vs Deportivo Alavés II is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.