Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco
The Footlab model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Marino de Luanco (1,876) and Ourense CF (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ourense CF have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Marino de Luanco win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ourense CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Marino de Luanco 0-0 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Ourense CF 1-0 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Ourense CF 0-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Marino de Luanco 1-0 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF on Jan 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ourense CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
- The Footlab model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Ourense CF.
- Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF played?
- Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.