Where and when is Bergantiños vs Amorebieta played?

Bergantiños vs Amorebieta is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bergantiños vs Amorebieta: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo

Bergantiños

Amorebieta

The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bergantiños vs Amorebieta?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,882) and Amorebieta (1,895).

Bergantiños win41 %

Draw28 %

Amorebieta win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Amorebieta have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bergantiños
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Sámano(away)	5-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	UD Ourense(home)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Real Oviedo II(away)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Sarriana(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	4-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Amorebieta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Mutilvera(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sestao River(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Gernika(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bergantiños	1.5	1.4	4	6/15	8/15
Amorebieta	1.2	0.8	8	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Bergantiños	34	13	9	12	44	37	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Amorebieta?: The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Amorebieta.
Where and when is Bergantiños vs Amorebieta played?: Bergantiños vs Amorebieta is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.