BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Dynamo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 BFC Dynamo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 4-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Dynamo score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Dynamo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Dynamo sit 9th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | BFC Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsMagdeburg II
- Mar 21, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsHallescher FC
- Mar 21, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsHertha BSC II
- Mar 21, 2027BFC PreussenvsLuckenwalde
- Mar 21, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsChemnitzer FC
- Mar 21, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsTasmania Berlin
- Mar 21, 2027AltglienickevsFSV Zwickau
- Mar 21, 2027Greifswalder FCvsRSV Eintracht