Match

BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, Berlin

BFC DynamoLokomotive Leipzig

The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,863).

BFC Dynamo win31 %
Draw26 %
Lokomotive Leipzig win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Dynamo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BFC Dynamo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026BFC Preussen(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026Tasmania Berlin(away)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026BFC Preussen(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Magdeburg II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 BFC Dynamo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026BFC Dynamo 0-1 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 2, 2025Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost
Apr 12, 2025Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost
Oct 19, 2024BFC Dynamo 0-2 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 9, 2024BFC Dynamo 4-0 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 23, 2023Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BFC Dynamo score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BFC Dynamo1.51.367/157/15
Lokomotive Leipzig1.81.7211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BFC Dynamo sit 9th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lokomotive Leipzig6312121110
9BFC Dynamo6222888

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for BFC Dynamo.
Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: BFC Dynamo and Lokomotive Leipzig

Ready to know everything about football?