BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 6, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 5, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 26, 2023 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027FSV ZwickauvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Apr 18, 2027Hallescher FCvsErzgebirge Aue
- Apr 18, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsLuckenwalde
- Apr 18, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsBFC Dynamo
- Apr 18, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsTasmania Berlin
- Apr 18, 2027AltglienickevsBFC Preussen
- Apr 18, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 18, 2027Greifswalder FCvsMagdeburg II