Match

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig

BSG Chemie LeipzigLokomotive Leipzig

The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,799).

BSG Chemie Leipzig win23 %
Draw24 %
Lokomotive Leipzig win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BSG Chemie Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026RSV Eintracht(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Hallescher FC(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026Tasmania Berlin(away)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026BFC Preussen(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Magdeburg II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-0 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Oct 19, 2025Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Apr 6, 2025BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Oct 6, 2024Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
May 5, 2024Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 26, 2023BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BSG Chemie Leipzig1.11.326/155/15
Lokomotive Leipzig1.81.7211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lokomotive Leipzig6312121110
18BSG Chemie Leipzig6015181

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: BSG Chemie Leipzig and Lokomotive Leipzig

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