SV Babelsberg 03 vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam
The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs Tasmania Berlin?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate SV Babelsberg 03 (1,863) and Tasmania Berlin (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tasmania Berlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | Tasmania Berlin 2-4 SV Babelsberg 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Tasmania Berlin 1-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Tasmania Berlin 0-6 SV Babelsberg 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 26, 2022 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-5 Tasmania Berlin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 3, 2021 | SV Babelsberg 03 2-0 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Tasmania Berlin 2-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Jan 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs Tasmania Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs Tasmania Berlin played?
- SV Babelsberg 03 vs Tasmania Berlin is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 18, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsLuckenwalde
- Apr 18, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsBFC Dynamo
- Apr 18, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Apr 18, 2027AltglienickevsBFC Preussen
- Apr 18, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 18, 2027Greifswalder FCvsMagdeburg II