Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?

SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam

SV Babelsberg 03

Lokomotive Leipzig

The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,863).

SV Babelsberg 03 win30 %

Draw22 %

Lokomotive Leipzig win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Babelsberg 03
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	RSV Eintracht(home)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Altglienicke(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost

Lokomotive Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(away)	3-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Hertha BSC II(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	BFC Preussen(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 26, 2025	Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 SV Babelsberg 03	Regionalliga - Nordost
Mar 15, 2025	SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 22, 2024	Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 SV Babelsberg 03	Regionalliga - Nordost
Feb 23, 2024	Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 SV Babelsberg 03	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 3, 2023	SV Babelsberg 03 4-1 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Babelsberg 03	2.8	2.2	2	12/15	13/15
Lokomotive Leipzig	1.8	1.7	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Lokomotive Leipzig	6	3	1	2	12	11	10
13	SV Babelsberg 03	5	1	2	2	8	9	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig?: The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for SV Babelsberg 03.
Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?: SV Babelsberg 03 vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.