Longford Town vs Kerry: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Bishopsgate Stadium, Longford Town
The Footlab model makes Longford Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Kerry. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Longford Town vs Kerry?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Longford Town (1,387) and Kerry (1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Longford Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Kerry have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 4-2 | First Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-4 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Athlone Town(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Finn Harps(home) | 5-0 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UCD(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 0-4 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cork City(away) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 3-0 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 4-0 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Longford Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kerry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Kerry 2-1 Longford Town | First Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Longford Town 1-0 Kerry | First Division |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kerry 1-1 Longford Town | First Division |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Kerry 1-0 Longford Town | First Division |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Longford Town 3-1 Kerry | First Division |
| May 30, 2025 | Kerry 2-0 Longford Town | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Kerry vs Longford Town on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Longford Town score 2.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kerry score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longford Town | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Kerry | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Longford Town sit 6th in First Division (25 points from 20 matches) and Kerry sit 8th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Longford Town | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 40 |
| 6 | Longford Town | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 25 |
| 6 | Kerry | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Kerry | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Longford Town vs Kerry?
- The Footlab model makes Longford Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Kerry.
- Where and when is Longford Town vs Kerry played?
- Longford Town vs Kerry is played on September 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Bishopsgate Stadium, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.