Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Lorient. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paris Saint Germain wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (2,298 vs 2,015).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 42M. Kone
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 8N. Cadiou
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 2A. Georgen
- 10I. Jensen
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 9Ferran Torres
- 11M. Akliouche
- 7K. Kvaratskhelia
- 87João Neves
- 17Vitinha
- 4Beraldo
- 2A. Hakimi
- 51W. Pacho
- 6I. Zabarnyi
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 39M. Safonov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lorient win, 3 draws, 2 Paris Saint Germain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Lorient 1-1 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Lorient 1-4 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Paris Saint Germain 0-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Paris Saint Germain 1-3 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Lorient 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient sit 8th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Lorient.
- Where and when is Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.